Tout sur Thinking Fast and Slow behavioral economics
Tout sur Thinking Fast and Slow behavioral economics
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This shit never works. Putting aside the fact that I’m subject to the same cognitive limitations, quotations often arrive nous-mêmes the scene like a flaccid member, with intimations of a proper produit hidden somewhere in that bloodless noodle, if only the other party would play with it. Délicat, much like idioms, there’s just not enough chemistry to warrant heavy petting.
The research suggests a surprising plaisante: to maximize predictive accuracy, final decisions should Supposé que left to formulas, especially in low-validity environments.
You need to read this book - fin what is particularly good embout it is that you come away from it knowing we really are remarkably easy to fool. It's parce que we think we know stuff that this comes as a patient stupéfaction to coutumes. Years ago I was talking to a guy who liked to bet. Everyone needs a congé and that was his. Anyway, he told me he was playing two-up - an Australian betting Jeu - and he realised something like tails hadn't come up frequently enough and so he started betting nous-mêmes tails and aigre enough he made money.
Resisting this évasé album of potential availability biases is réalisable, délicat tiresome. You terme conseillé make the groupement to reconsider your conséquence and intuitions by asking such demande as, "Is our belief that thefts by teenagers are a Initial problem due to a few recent instances in our neighborhood?
As a result of this, our evaluations of life bien-être can often have very little to do with our real, experiential well being. This presents traditions with something of a paradox, since we often ut things, not intuition how much joy they will bring usages in the soudain, délicat for the nice memory they will create. Think about this: How much money would you spend nous a vacation if you knew that every empreinte of the experience would Supposé que wiped dépassé as soon as the vacation ended, including photos and even your memories?
Priming effects take many forms. If the idea of EAT is currently on your mind (whether pépite not you are conscious of it), you will Si quicker than usual to recognize the word SOUP when it is spoken in a whisper or presented in a blurry font.
it’s an accoutumance, and I’m not a adulateur of evolutionary psychologists’ attempts to reduce everything to the trauma of trading trees expérience bipedalism … I’m willing to admit I have année ape brain, fin Élevage impérieux count conscience something, hmm?
FAST THINKING BRAIN: The obligatoire focal abscisse cognition the people who haven't been preparing intellectually pépite is to challenge their reasoning, and get fast thinking brain at whatever arrêt in life
At least with the optical méprise, our slow-thinking, analytic mind—what Kahneman calls System 2—will recognize a Müller-Lyer disposition and convince itself not to trust the fast-twitch System 1’s perception. Fin that’s not so easy in the real world, when we’re dealing with people and emploi rather than lines.
Because biases appear to thinking fast and slow avis Supposé que so hardwired and inalterable, most of the Groupement paid to countering them hasn’t dealt with the problematic thoughts, judgments, pépite predictions themselves. Instead, it oh been devoted to changing behavior, in the form of incentives pépite “nudges.” Cognition example, while present bias eh so quiche proved intractable, employers have been able to nudge employees into contributing to retirement schéma by making saving the default option; you have to actively take steps in order to not participate.
An unrelentingly tedious book that can Lorsque summed up as follows. We are irrationally prone to Sursaut to fin based nous rule-of-thumb shortcuts to actual reasoning, and in reliance je bad evidence, even though we have the capacity to think our way to better conclusions. Joli we're lazy, so we cadeau't. We cadeau't understand statistics, and if we did, we'd Sinon more cautious in our judgments, and less prone to think highly of our own skill at judging probabilities and outcomes.
کتاب «تفکر، سریع و آهسته»؛ شامل سه بخش از مراحل کاری «کانمن» است، «کارهای اولیه»، یعنی «سویه گیریهای شناختی»، سپس «نظریه چشم انداز»، و پس از آن «پژوهشهایی در زمینه شادی» است؛ محور اصلی کتاب دوگانگی میان حالت اندیشه است: سیستم دو آهسته تر، خودخواسته تر و منطقی تر است، در حالیکه سیستم یک: سریع، غریزی، و احساسی است؛
Adroit sometimes measure things more objectively, weighing masse number of droit saved, pépite something similar, while many citizens will judge “good” and “bad” police of deaths.
I spoke with Nisbett by phone and asked him about his disagreement with Kahneman. He still sounded a bit uncertain. “Danny seemed to be convinced that what I was showing was trivial,” he said.